You could also say from the QB's point of view Auburn's offense is also less complicated than the average college offense. I also wouldn't say that the offense is "far more" complicated than the average high school offense.
I also think you are taking a flawed approach by looking at the current roster, as that doesn't take into account the numbers of QBs coming from the various college systems. If you want to convince me of your point, a good statistical study of the number of drafted QBs from simplified offenses like Auburns vs more complicated college offenses would be far more telling.
I will continue to voice my opinions and counter opinions and statements that I feel are wrong or I don't agree with.
In the end college drafting is about three aspects:
1) Physical ability
2) Mental makeup
3) On the field production
Now the thing with Cam Newton is that his on the field production is clearly not a good an indicator than what you see with your average college QB. In fact while I haven't mentioned it, one of the after the fact reasons given for bust QBs is that their college coaches will often dummy down their offenses to take advantage of their QB's natural talents and ability. Even in the pro style offenses, there have been many successful QBs who never had to look at more than one side of the field on a given play. In the end the college game is different with much lower levels of competition and simpler defenses. At the college level a player can out talent and ability his competition. At the NFL level that simply doesn't happen.
In the end we have Cam Newton
1) Great Physical ability
2) Questionable mental makeup
3) incomplete or unknown on the productivity indicator owing to the extreme simplicity of the offense he ran. Compounding that problem was his single year at Auburn.
So you have a great number one and 2 question marks for the other 2. That doesn't mean he will be a bust at the next level, but he is a huge gamble owing to the unknowns.
In many ways Cam is like our own JPP in that he is long on ability short on experience and proven track record. The difference is that JPP didn't have the character questions that Cam has.
I have absolutely no doubt that both Oregon's and Auburn's offenses are executed in a FAR less complicated way than most college offenses. I think that is the very reason these teams were in the championship game last season and both will contend for their conference crowns again this season. I think simple execution is better, not worse. I also think "simple" in the execution has nothing whatsoever to do with pro-potential. Simple is a relative term though. If you watch the Oregon and Auburn offenses, they are not simple at all, but how they are executed allows them to be run at incredible speeds. The execution is what is simple, not the offenses themselves. They are just run differently. The offense run very simply, but yet is still incredibly complicated.
As a former HS player and a current fan (though Lakeland, my local team, is not very good right now) I feel very comfortable saying the college game and the high school game are on different playing fields. Even at the amazing NYS high school teams, like Iona Prep or Bronxville, the offenses are so different than a decent FCS school, it barely bears talking about. High school teams do not have athletic enough offensive lines to run plays like those at the college level. Its a question of time to learn and be taught. High school players have hours instead of days to learn and the economics makes a big difference.
Anyway, that you want me to give you statistics from offenses like Auburns is impossible since Newton is the second qb from such an offense to be drafted. I think Dennis Dixon looked good when he played, but he was injured and did not get a chance to really see what he can do. The offense has only existed on a handful of teams for the past few years, so no other athletes have been at the level newton ro dixon are at. So there is nothing to look at.
But so I understand, now its not spread/pistol/shotgun QBs you think have a lower transition successrate, its really just the 2010 auburn offense that you think can not make the transition to the nfl QB level If thats the case, I agree, but again it has nothing to do with the offense, but the man you are talking about. I don't think Cam Newton would be a good pro QB prospect no matter where he came from. I don't like his head or his heart, not where he went to school. He will be good in the nfl as a runner, but not as a startign QB imo.