Big Blue Huddle

General Category => The Front Porch => Topic started by: Bob In PA on June 11, 2022, 03:46:21 PM

Title: Interesting (or perhaps I should say amazing) Scientific Fact
Post by: Bob In PA on June 11, 2022, 03:46:21 PM
[practicing using the new system] 

Before reading this post, how many of you were aware that...

TWO-THIRDS of all of the people in the entire history of the human race who lived past age 65... are alive right now... today?

Bob

PS. Was going to put this on the main board but it's not Giants talk.
Title: Re: Interesting (or perhaps I should say amazing) Scientific Fact
Post by: Jolly Blue Giant on June 11, 2022, 03:54:01 PM
That doesn't surprise me at all. As a long time genealogist I came to recognize that nearly all my ancestors were dead before they turned 65. In fact, most of them didn't reach 60. And my research goes back to about the early 1600's and I know things weren't better before 1600. Until the 1900's and the exponential growth in biology, medical care, and understanding diseases, life was pretty short
Title: Re: Interesting (or perhaps I should say amazing) Scientific Fact
Post by: DaveBrown74 on June 12, 2022, 10:01:24 AM
I would have never guessed that myself. Very surprising.

Title: Re: Interesting (or perhaps I should say amazing) Scientific Fact
Post by: Ed Vette on June 12, 2022, 10:35:41 AM
Prove it, Bob. 108,000,000,000 estimated who have lived over time. About 550 million are 65 or older today. That means that 366 million out of 101 Billion lived to be 65 and older.
Title: Re: Interesting (or perhaps I should say amazing) Scientific Fact
Post by: Uni on August 03, 2022, 06:36:49 PM


Quote from: Bob In PA on June 11, 2022, 03:46:21 PM[practicing using the new system] 

Before reading this post, how many of you were aware that...

TWO-THIRDS of all of the people in the entire history of the human race who lived past age 65... are alive right now... today?

Bob

Most of them are on BBH

Sent from my SM-G991U using Tapatalk

Title: Re: Interesting (or perhaps I should say amazing) Scientific Fact
Post by: jimmyz on August 06, 2022, 10:29:15 AM
Not a surprise at all Bob. It is amazing though.

In almost all industrialized and westernized nations from Europe to the US to the industrialized Asian nations such as China, S Korea and Japan the population is moving towards an aging one.  Even in India, the birth rate is beginning to decline.  In the East Asian countries in particular, they will have undergone a rapid population growth rate inversion over the course of the last few decades that was much more gradual in the western nations.  It mirrors the fact those countries have converted from almost entirely agricultural to industrialized overnight.

Since the boomer generation, each generation is having less and less children.  The current population growth paradigm is in large part due to people living longer at a faster rate; certainly not because the rate of child bearing is growing. 

There are going to be some economic ramifications to this when you consider consumption vs investment habits of the various age brackets.

Conventional wisdom has solidified around a very loud minority that have made the claim our population is growing at astronomical and unsustainable rates.   But for those who look deeply, you should be seeing an eventual population collapse and in some countries, that eventuality is coming faster than anyone knows.  They say that when it comes to population changes, they happen at two speeds; glacial and lightning fast.