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Adjusted EPA leaderboard through week 14

Started by MightyGiants, December 11, 2024, 09:26:05 AM

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MightyGiants

I have been toying with this metric this season.   One of the things I always say is look at the results and do they look right.




When I look at this board:

Burrow, Daniels, and Allen as the top three seems reasonable

Jamis Winston at 4 does not

Derek Carr looked terrible against the Giants, unless the Giants game was a bad game for him, 10 seems way too high.

Lawerence at 11 also looks too high

Jones at 19 seems to high

Hurts at 27 and Nix at 30 seem to low


While I appreciate no single metric can truly capture a QB's performance, I am not sure how much value there is in this particular stat
SMART, TOUGH, DEPENDABLE

Stringer Bell

The adjusted EPA rankings are terrible and make the metric look useless.

4 and 5 are way too high, and even 6 is high. 10 and 11 are too high. And DJ at 19 is a joke and about 10 spots too high.

9, 13, 15 and 16 are all too low. Baker at 29 and Nix at 30 is terrible.

The raw EPA numbers are far closer.