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NFL Rookie QB Outlook

Started by Jclayton92, May 21, 2025, 08:10:42 PM

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Jclayton92

This guy was actually really close on Daniels best case and Bryce Youngs worst case scenario.

https://x.com/ChrisTrapasso/status/1924522282162020412?t=6JhIkOuud77wD7VZsj99oQ&s=19

Offensive Rookie of the Year odds: +3500

Best-case scenario: 65% completion, 7.2 yards per attempt, 2,520 passing yards, 16 TD passes, 7 INTs, 28 sacks, 93.2 rating

Worst-case scenario: 59% completion, 6.2 yards per attempt, 1,820 passing yards, 8 TD passes, 10 INTs, 36 sacks, 69.9 rating

Basing these Dart projections on 350 attempts, simply because I'd be reasonably surprised if he's the Week 1 starter and/or ultimately plays a full 17-game regular season schedule as a rookie, especially given the maturation process ahead of him going from Ole Miss' offense to Brian Daboll's.

Dart is a talented thrower with plus athleticism on his side, which is part of the reason why his best-case scenario sack total is somewhat low. Also, the Giants have slowly but surely built a quality skill-position group on offense and the blocking should be improved, so if everything aligns for the first-rounder, a spectacular season with a rating in the low 90s isn't out of the question.

There's a wider range for Dart than Ward, simply due to the gimmicky nature of what Dart was accustomed to in college.

So how would you feel with the best case scenario?


MightyGiants

I'm am sorry, but I have been watching college scouting college QBs for years.   All the leading QB prospects are throwing to mostly open receivers.  This tired talking point about Dart playing in a gimmick offense is utter BS.  It's like one of the early scouting reports said it and so many others just mindlessly repeated it.
SMART, TOUGH, DEPENDABLE

Jclayton92

Quote from: MightyGiants on May 21, 2025, 08:17:41 PMI'm am sorry, but I have been watching college scouting college QBs for years.   All the leading QB prospects are throwing to mostly open receivers.  This tired talking point about Dart playing in a gimmick offense is utter BS.  It's like one of the early scouting reports said it and so many others just mindlessly repeated it.
Yeah it's absolutely ridiculous at this point.