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Everything COVID-19

Started by MightyGiants, July 11, 2020, 07:46:03 AM

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MightyGiants

Quote from: Bob In PA on August 09, 2020, 12:18:08 PM
Rich: Europe would be better served to mind its own business, as they have done no better or worse.  Bob

Population:
United States - 330,000,000
Germany,UK, France,Italy and Spain - 325,000,000 combined

Approximate number of covid tests:
United States - 59,000,000
Euro countries listed above - 41,300,000

Approximate number of covid Deaths:
United States - 158,000
Euro group - 151,000

Deaths per 100,000 population:
UK - 70
Spain - 61
Italy - 58
United States - 48
France - 45
Germany - 11

Bob

PS. These stats are getting a bit long-in-the-tooth but they're approximations anyway (but sufficient to make my point). I have no idea if the comparison is now more or less favorable than it was at the end of June.

Sadly these numbers are outdated or off (I use World O'meter as my source)


The US is now at 50 deaths per 100,000 (and rising) rather than 48

The UK is actually 69 rather than 70 (even then I rounded up 68.6)

France is 46 rather than 45

The rest of the numbers match up

As for deaths of of these comparable groups

It now stands at

US- 165,260
Europe- 149,867


Of course as we discussed before the US population is significantly younger than the populations of the European nations you selected.    Plus, as the article points out the US situation is still dire even with better treatments, better knowledge of the disease, and more PPE.   Europe is like the NYC metro area it got hit hard and fast before we had the tools to fight back.   

If you want a good comparison, you should compare how upstate NY has weathered this virus.  That is a great comparison to many of the parts of the nation that are now dealing with Covid crisises.  They had the time and the warning that upstate NY got, the difference was in the leadership.
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Bob In PA

Thanks. My conclusion is the same.... we've done no worse or better than Europe, generally.  As for New York, they have the highest death rate among the 50 states.  Here's the rest of what I posted before.  Bob

Deaths per 100,000 population (including a few states that have been harshly criticized, which I have steadfastly refused to do):
New York - 167
Belgium - 86
UK - 70
Spain - 61
Italy - 58
Arizona - 53
United States - 48
France - 45
Florida - 34
Texas - 27
Germany - 11
If Jeff Hostetler could do it, Daniel Jones can do it !!!

MightyGiants

Quote from: Bob In PA on August 09, 2020, 01:09:48 PM
Thanks. My conclusion is the same.... we've done no worse or better than Europe, generally.  As for New York, they have the highest death rate among the 50 states.  Here's the rest of what I posted before.  Bob

Deaths per 100,000 population (including a few states that have been harshly criticized, which I have steadfastly refused to do):
New York - 167
Belgium - 86
UK - 70
Spain - 61
Italy - 58
Arizona - 53
United States - 48
France - 45
Florida - 34
Texas - 27
Germany - 11

Bob,

We have done worse and as time goes by it's getting to be much worse


As for NY, you have to separate out upstate from the city.
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Bob In PA

Quote from: MightyGiants on August 09, 2020, 01:11:09 PM
Bob,

We have done worse and as time goes by it's getting to be much worse


As for NY, you have to separate out upstate from the city.

Rich: Two opinions in one sentence (not a problem, just an observation). As for NY, Cuomo rules the entire state. I feel bad for any gov ofa state with a HUGE city, since, as we know, dense population = bad news.  Bob
If Jeff Hostetler could do it, Daniel Jones can do it !!!

MightyGiants

Quote from: Bob In PA on August 09, 2020, 01:19:24 PM
Rich: Two opinions in one sentence (not a problem, just an observation). As for NY, Cuomo rules the entire state. I feel bad for any gov ofa state with a HUGE city, since, as we know, dense population = bad news.  Bob

The NYC metro area had to deal with mass transit and highrise buildings and getting the virus early when there was no PPE or knowledge of the virus or even a treatment


I think there is another number you should be looking at:

Deaths on August 7 (the last day I have all the data)

Spain- 3
UK- 55
Italy- 3
Germany- 2
France- 12

Total-  77


The US-  1290


Those are the numbers that justify the article I posted
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MightyGiants

Quote from: MightyGiants on August 06, 2020, 09:38:41 AM
This is a picture of the first day of classes at Paulding County Georgia




The student who posted this has since been suspended by the school

and



9 Test Positive for Coronavirus at Georgia High School Where Viral Photo Showed Students Without Masks

North Paulding High School has not specified if they will be closing down after six students and three staff members tested positive for COVID-19


https://people.com/health/9-test-positive-coronavirus-georgia-high-school/
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Bob In PA

Quote from: MightyGiants on August 09, 2020, 04:22:09 PM
The NYC metro area had to deal with mass transit and highrise buildings and getting the virus early when there was no PPE or knowledge of the virus or even a treatment

I think there is another number you should be looking at:

Deaths on August 7 (the last day I have all the data)

Spain- 3
UK- 55
Italy- 3
Germany- 2
France- 12

Total-  77

The US-  1290

Those are the numbers that justify the article I posted

Rich: It's meaningless to look at a single day. That's why I attempted to post semi-long-term totals.  Also, different countries may count differently.

There's a big difference between dying WITH covid and dying FROM covid.  We just don't know enough (including how that particular dichotomy will be finally assessed and considered by epidemiologists). 

Things change daily. There's little to be learned by checking the score after each play in a game.  Once the pandemic has run its course, comparisons will be meaningful, and conclusions can be reached... maybe.

Bob
If Jeff Hostetler could do it, Daniel Jones can do it !!!

MightyGiants

Quote from: Bob In PA on August 09, 2020, 04:51:18 PM
Rich: It's meaningless to look at a single day. That's why I attempted to post semi-long-term totals.  Also, different countries may count differently.

There's a big difference between dying WITH covid and dying FROM covid.  We just don't know enough (including how that particular dichotomy will be finally assessed and considered by epidemiologists). 

Things change daily. There's little to be learned by checking the score after each play in a game.  Once the pandemic has run its course, comparisons will be meaningful, and conclusions can be reached... maybe.

Bob

Bob,

1)  I pulled the data from bar charts and I can tell you it's not like the 7th was an anomaly.  That magnitudes greater death rates has been going on for some time now

2)  For the overwhelming majority of Covid deaths those two terms are interchangeable.  The numbers of patients who have Covid but die of something unrelated is very small

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Bob In PA

Quote from: MightyGiants on August 09, 2020, 04:59:33 PM
Bob,

1)  I pulled the data from bar charts and I can tell you it's not like the 7th was an anomaly.  That magnitudes greater death rates has been going on for some time now

2)  For the overwhelming majority of Covid deaths those two terms are interchangeable.  The numbers of patients who have Covid but die of something unrelated is very small

Rich: Do we know if European countries "count" deaths as we do?  I ask because, as you know, there are financial incentives for reporting every possible case in the US as having been caused by covid. Bob
If Jeff Hostetler could do it, Daniel Jones can do it !!!

MightyGiants

Quote from: Bob In PA on August 09, 2020, 05:04:05 PM
Rich: Do we know if European countries "count" deaths as we do?  I ask because, as you know, there are financial incentives for reporting every possible case in the US as having been caused by covid. Bob

https://www.cbs19.tv/article/news/health/verify-covid-19-reporting-and-death-certificates/501-cd4f1995-e342-4451-ae90-a814f1ace284
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MightyGiants

Pass this law along with mandatory mask laws in all states and we would start to actually beat this virus.


QuoteAnyone who assaults an employee enforcing the use of masks can now be prosecuted as aggravated battery in Illinois.
Gov. J.B. Pritzker passed a law last week that adds a penalty for assaulting a worker who's "conveying public health guidance" -- that is, telling patrons of a business to wear a mask or maintain social distancing. In Illinois, aggravated battery is usually a felony.
The law went into effect immediately.
"This provision sends the message that it's vitally important for workers to be both respected and protected while serving on the front lines," the governor's office said in a statement on the new law.


https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/10/us/assault-workers-mask-law-illinois-trnd/index.html
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jimmyz

QuoteAnyone who assaults an employee enforcing the use of masks can now be prosecuted as aggravated battery in Illinois.
Gov. J.B. Pritzker passed a law last week that adds a penalty for assaulting a worker who's "conveying public health guidance" -- that is, telling patrons of a business to wear a mask or maintain social distancing. In Illinois, aggravated battery is usually a felony.
The law went into effect immediately.

"This provision sends the message that it's vitally important for workers to be both respected and protected while serving on the front lines," the governor's office said in a statement on the new law.

Unless performed during the commission of riotous compassion towards fellow Americans.

Speaking of Chicago.  Things are going well in the Windy City in the last couple days. 

https://www.chicagotribune.com/news/breaking/ct-chicago-downtown-looting-20200810-3zwa3b7zzrc5vdyb4qjqywrjvu-story.html

This riot seems to be purely for shopping purposes as the rioters appear to have shown up with bags and U-Hauls.  Yep...just a good ol' spontaneuous "Free $hit" riot. 

"The best way to get anything done is...ugh...if you hold near and dear to you ugh...then you like to be able to ugh..."

MightyGiants

Quote from: jimmyz on August 10, 2020, 04:15:13 PM
Unless performed during the commission of riotous compassion towards fellow Americans.

Speaking of Chicago.  Things are going well in the Windy City in the last couple days. 

https://www.chicagotribune.com/news/breaking/ct-chicago-downtown-looting-20200810-3zwa3b7zzrc5vdyb4qjqywrjvu-story.html

This riot seems to be purely for shopping purposes as the rioters appear to have shown up with bags.  Yep...just a good ol' spontaneuous "Free $hit" riot.

Please spare us your anti-American Trump rhetoric
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MightyGiants

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MightyGiants

I have to confess, after I thought about it they were correct

We lack the data to understand how N.J. students might spread COVID-19 in schools, experts say

QuoteLindsay Salaj tested positive for the coronavirus in later April. Her daughter, Vienne, also had a fever, but her pediatrician advised against giving the 5-year-old the unpleasant nasopharyngeal test.

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